NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

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joethejet

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostSat Sep 17, 2016 2:15 am

Jeep, Yeah, sometimes, you just gotta do *something*.

In the meantime, I'm sure glad we had that hot streak because we've been only 3 over outside of it! Yeesh, we're still in good shape, but it's got me a little worried, Semper is breathing down our neck in a big way. Losing three 3-2 games tonight is demoralizing.

At least I went to the Giants game tonight and they won handily over the Cards.
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Jeepdriver

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostSat Sep 17, 2016 9:49 am

4-2 since I made moves. Almost had a sweep last night, carried a lead into the bottom of the 9th but gave it up. My new guys are doing well. Something I'd never do, I'm playing Dietrick at 2B, despite the 4 range. What the heck.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostWed Sep 21, 2016 12:48 am

Jeepdriver wrote:4-2 since I made moves. Almost had a sweep last night, carried a lead into the bottom of the 9th but gave it up. My new guys are doing well. Something I'd never do, I'm playing Dietrick at 2B, despite the 4 range. What the heck.


Well, you took 2 of 3 from me last night, breaking a cold streak. :(
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostMon Sep 26, 2016 1:01 am

Three more games interdivision and then it's all in the division till the end.

I'll try to get to the "luck" factors this week.

Taking a look at the races....

East - As the ratings predicted, the race is tight as can be. What *is* a little surprising is that all four teams are in the positive in run diff. That doesn't happen often. It's anyone's division to take, but it's interesting to note that Big A and Spidey have the best intradivisional records.

Central - As Jeep surmised, his moves hurt his rating, but he was struggling anyway so...what the heck...Falcon has overtaken Dale and looks to be the favorite to hold on for the division. Stoney hasn't been able to shake off his one run game blues.

West - JTJ has opened a bit of a lead over the past two series, but Semper has been good enough all season to catch him with a little hot streak. Both squads are good within the division.

WC - Semper is the odds on favorite here even with his tough last two series. He's got a four game lead over Hawk and Spider. Seems likely that JTJ and Semper will take the West and WC between the two, but stranger things have happened and there's enough games left that you never know.

Right now 8 teams (the East, Falcon, Dale, JTJ and Semper) are still in the running. Smokey is six out of the WC so he's got an outside chance. The problem is he has three teams ahead of him in that race. The other three teams are playing to escape the East in NLD43.

Any thoughts out there?
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostTue Sep 27, 2016 8:24 am

Definitely looks like a barnburner to the end in the East. If that happens, Semper may "coast" to the wildcard. The East's plus 14 wins is a surprise. I haven't checked all of the "unleashed" players, but Parker and Mahtook have both justified their selections.

I lost Ross for 15 last night. That should make starter selection a challenge for his three missed starts.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostTue Sep 27, 2016 2:47 pm

Spider 67 wrote:Definitely looks like a barnburner to the end in the East. If that happens, Semper may "coast" to the wildcard. The East's plus 14 wins is a surprise. I haven't checked all of the "unleashed" players, but Parker and Mahtook have both justified their selections.

I lost Ross for 15 last night. That should make starter selection a challenge for his three missed starts.


Ouch. I never know, however, how well Hal really handles inserting an RP in for a missing starter. There doesn't seem to be much of an impact in terms of usage or tiredness. Do you have a backup SP?
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostTue Sep 27, 2016 2:51 pm

Following up on Jeep's inbox thread, and before I do the luck stats, who feels like they've been unlucky (yes Jeep, we know you do ;) ) and who thinks things have gone their way? We'll see if my factors are any good at figuring out luck.
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostTue Sep 27, 2016 4:54 pm

joethejet wrote:
Spider 67 wrote:Definitely looks like a barnburner to the end in the East. If that happens, Semper may "coast" to the wildcard. The East's plus 14 wins is a surprise. I haven't checked all of the "unleashed" players, but Parker and Mahtook have both justified their selections.

I lost Ross for 15 last night. That should make starter selection a challenge for his three missed starts.


Ouch. I never know, however, how well Hal really handles inserting an RP in for a missing starter. There doesn't seem to be much of an impact in terms of usage or tiredness. Do you have a backup SP?


I have 6 SPs. so finding a starter isn't the problem. Needing to insert my 6th worst against a particular lineup is my biggest worry - e.g. Nuno vs. a righty lineup. HAL's used him well up to this point as a reliever, but he will have three starts with Ross out.
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostTue Sep 27, 2016 5:00 pm

joethejet wrote:Following up on Jeep's inbox thread, and before I do the luck stats, who feels like they've been unlucky (yes Jeep, we know you do ;) ) and who thinks things have gone their way? We'll see if my factors are any good at figuring out luck.



My team will look OK on the plus side. BPS has definitely been better than my opponents as well as 1-run advantage.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 42 - Are those guys still around?

PostTue Sep 27, 2016 10:44 pm

Spider 67 wrote:
joethejet wrote:
Spider 67 wrote:Definitely looks like a barnburner to the end in the East. If that happens, Semper may "coast" to the wildcard. The East's plus 14 wins is a surprise. I haven't checked all of the "unleashed" players, but Parker and Mahtook have both justified their selections.

I lost Ross for 15 last night. That should make starter selection a challenge for his three missed starts.


Ouch. I never know, however, how well Hal really handles inserting an RP in for a missing starter. There doesn't seem to be much of an impact in terms of usage or tiredness. Do you have a backup SP?


I have 6 SPs. so finding a starter isn't the problem. Needing to insert my 6th worst against a particular lineup is my biggest worry - e.g. Nuno vs. a righty lineup. HAL's used him well up to this point as a reliever, but he will have three starts with Ross out.


I sense a quick hook coming. ;)
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