Projected Total

Looks like about 345 is the number this year. 46 0r 47 teams still can reach that without having to play .600 baseball. Should be a great finish.

Great cluster to be in the top 36!

MARCPELLETIER is the guy to beat.

Well, I learnt from last year: there is nothing to be proud of if I don't pass the semis!!!

Moving into the last week, top 36 will be a tight race!

I've done a bit of analysis of who the top 36 managers are likely to be. For event 5, I have taken the current win percentage and estimated the number of wins by extrapolation. Note that I have NOT added postseason wins to the projected totals for league 5 so this list is still very preliminary. An examination of projected wins for L5 should give some indication of which managers will make the playoffs (which may yield an additional 0-8 wins). The first number to the left of the manager name indicates current position.

Manager L1 L2 L3 L4 L5 PrjL5 top4 ProjTop4
1 MarcPelletier 97 104 97 113 0 0 411 411
2 Waynick 100 98 94 102 71 80 394 394
5 sakdl4 102 95 93 78 77 87 368 377
3 J-Pav 90 108 98 75 70 79 371 375
4 bbfan 88 88 96 94 84 95 366 373
5 Gilbo 98 95 79 90 79 89 362 372
4 Jeepdriver 102 92 97 77 70 79 368 370
5 cristano1 101 84 77 89 73 96 351 370
6 ringojb 98 86 79 98 76 86 361 368
7 wjb23 104 97 82 78 75 84 361 367
8 Stoney18 100 100 80 75 77 87 357 367
9 freeman 88 81 91 105 68 77 365 365
10 sociophil 89 102 83 70 81 91 355 365
11 bob711 73 104 85 81 84 95 354 365
12 ScumbyJr 102 91 76 89 71 80 358 362
13 rudys raiders 88 89 96 88 56 74 361 361
14 SteadyEddie33 77 98 84 97 72 81 356 360
15 exwallman 96 86 75 92 65 86 349 360
16 thesplinter 88 0 97 91 73 82 349 358
17 unclerowser 92 74 92 87 77 87 348 358
18 john567855 98 78 96 83 67 75 355 355
19 GoDucks 80 88 69 104 62 82 341 354
20 chris_s 77 78 97 99 70 79 351 353
21 teamnasty 84 89 0 99 72 81 344 353
22 visick 83 95 90 79 64 84 347 352
23 stevep107 78 82 85 90 84 95 341 352
24 jmoore1966 86 84 94 82 76 86 346 350
25 malamutt2002 92 71 76 92 80 90 340 350
39 hk mossy 87 75 67 105 63 83 334 350
40 sebastian 79 101 82 78 77 87 340 349
41 buzz082308 66 73 90 97 79 89 339 349
42 Delbird 67 95 96 84 65 73 342 348
43 Boyer14 86 76 93 86 73 82 341 347
37 hendrix08 79 89 81 80 86 97 336 347
45 jack377 77 92 81 80 70 92 330 345
46 karphenry 79 83 77 105 61 69 344 344

47 ToyBoys 86 91 80 85 72 81 342 343
42 milleram 89 75 95 68 74 83 333 342
43 2cityfan 97 90 79 75 62 70 341 341
44 spider67 58 83 94 70 83 93 330 340
45 carlerik 74 92 87 83 56 74 336 336
41 jamespoohbear 78 95 82 79 71 80 334 336
38 mesquiton 73 96 84 82 55 72 335 335
40 Dr_marc 80 83 85 86 58 76 334 334
43 FRANKZAHN 82 86 88 77 60 68 333 333

Looks like my first place will be safe.

BTW, isn't there a jump from rank 25 to rank 39?

"The first number to the left of the manager name indicates current position."

Updated projections:

Current
Rank Manager L1 L2 L3 L4 L5 ProjL5 Cur top4 ProjTop4
1 MarcPelletier 97 104 97 113 0 0 411 411 @
2 Waynick 100 98 94 102 73 80 394 394 *
3 sakdl4 102 95 93 78 85 90 368 380 #
4 J-Pav 90 108 98 75 75 79 371 375 *
6 bbfan 88 88 96 94 89 94 366 372 #
20 cristano1 101 84 77 89 77 95 351 369 #
8 Gilbo 98 95 79 90 80 85 362 368 #
5 Jeepdriver 102 92 97 77 73 77 368 368 *
8 ringojb 98 86 79 98 81 86 361 368 #
10 wjb23 104 97 82 78 79 84 361 367 *
12 Stoney18 100 100 80 75 80 85 360 365 *
7 freeman 88 81 91 105 70 74 365 365 *
13 sociophil 89 102 83 70 85 90 359 364 #
13 bob711 73 104 85 81 89 94 359 364 #
16 SteadyEddie33 77 98 84 97 78 83 356 362 *
11 rudys raiders 88 89 96 88 58 71 361 361 *
15 ScumbyJr 102 91 76 89 74 78 358 360 *
23 exwallman 96 86 75 92 69 85 349 359 #
18 thesplinter 88 0 97 91 78 83 354 359 *
19 unclerowser 92 74 92 87 82 87 353 358 #
24 visick 83 95 90 79 72 88 347 356 #
17 john567855 98 78 96 83 71 75 355 355 *
22 teamnasty 84 89 0 99 78 83 350 355 *
34 GoDucks 80 88 69 104 66 81 341 353 *
20 chris_s 77 78 97 99 75 79 351 353 *
38 hk mossy 87 75 67 105 69 85 334 352 #
25 jmoore1966 86 84 94 82 82 87 346 351 #
26 stevep107 78 82 85 90 88 93 345 350 #
26 sebastian 79 101 82 78 83 88 340 350 #
26 Boyer14 86 76 93 86 80 85 341 350 #
26 Delbird 67 95 96 84 70 74 342 349 *
31 malamutt2002 92 71 76 92 83 88 343 348 #
32 buzz082308 66 73 90 97 82 87 342 347 #
34 hendrix08 79 89 81 80 91 96 341 346 #
32 ToyBoys 86 91 80 85 78 83 342 345 *
30 karphenry 79 83 77 105 66 70 344 344 *

47 jack377 77 92 81 80 73 90 330 343 #
37 milleram 89 75 95 68 78 83 337 342 *
34 2cityfan 97 90 79 75 66 70 341 341 *
43 Knerrpool 88 70 0 101 74 78 333 341 *
43 spider67 58 83 94 70 86 91 333 338 #
38 carlerik 74 92 87 83 60 74 336 336 *
41 jamespoohbear 78 95 82 79 75 79 334 335 *
40 mesquiton 73 96 84 82 59 72 335 335 *
41 Dr_marc 80 83 85 86 63 77 334 334 *
43 FRANKZAHN 82 86 88 77 64 68 333 333 *

@-not participating in league 5 because he is a boss and didn't need to.
*-unlikely to make playoffs in league 5.
#-likely to make playoffs in league 5 so an extra 0-8 games could be added to the final score.
jack377 and spider67 have a chance to make the semi-finals, depending on how well they do in the playoffs in league 5. Toyboys and karphenry might make the playoffs but are at risk - i.e. jack377 and/spider67 might pass them.

Besides my big 105 in Event 4 I was mediocre at best. I expect Spider and/or Jack to pass me but they will likely need a few playoff wins.