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Doc: Check out this excellent thread from TSN archives about the impact of the OF arms, with a focus on the CF arm.
http://forum.365.strat-o-matic.com/arch ... 1&t=251327
Here's a portion of the first post in the thread:
Using an ATG team with DH, where scoring is approximately 50% higher compared to real MLB baseball teams, instead of the '06 Mets as a control group, may show slightly higher differences in runs allowed based on CFer arms, but the conclusion that there's little difference in runs allowed over the course of a season by a team with a CF arm of -3 compared to a team with a 0 CF arm seems likely to remain valid.
I hope this helps. - Bernie
http://forum.365.strat-o-matic.com/arch ... 1&t=251327
Here's a portion of the first post in the thread:
Mean Dean wrote:This is a study of the effects of CF arm rating. I used the 2006 Mets as my control group. The following players started every game: Paul Lo Duca C, Carlos Delgado 1B, Jose Valentin 2B, Jose Reyes SS, David Wright 3B, Endy Chavez LF, Carlos Beltran CF, Shawn Green RF. I made Green into a 1 fielder because I didn't want the computer to replace him for defense, since I plan to do this same study for RF as well, so I wanted to make sure he played every inning or damn close.
In 50 simulated seasons, this team allowed an average of 650 runs per season.
I then changed Beltran from a -3 arm, to a 0 arm.
In 50 sim seasons, the team with this change made allowed 652 runs per season. (In case you're [i:385d085c75]really[/i:385d085c75] bad at math, that's a difference of two runs
I then changed Beltran to a +3 arm.
In 50 sim seasons, that team allowed 667 runs a season. (Actually exactly 666.66, which is spooky In any event, that's a difference of 17 runs.
Using an ATG team with DH, where scoring is approximately 50% higher compared to real MLB baseball teams, instead of the '06 Mets as a control group, may show slightly higher differences in runs allowed based on CFer arms, but the conclusion that there's little difference in runs allowed over the course of a season by a team with a CF arm of -3 compared to a team with a 0 CF arm seems likely to remain valid.
I hope this helps. - Bernie