Who is likely to miss more games in a season?

If you had a catcher with 600 ab (Bill Dickey) but a 2 injury chance or a catcher with a 1 injury chance but under 600 ab, what are the statistical comparison of how many games each would miss in a season due to injury?

Has anyone looked at the math?

It's pretty similar. The 1-injury player is more likely to miss more games than the 2-injury player. From memory, I think the end result is 9 games for 1-injury vs 7 games, but since the 2-injury is more likely to miss at-bats within a game played, the number of missing "at-bats" is pretty close. Again from memory, I think it favours the 2-injury player by less than 1% (so roughly less than 6 at-bats)

It must be very rare for a player to have over 600 plate appearances and have the 2 injury, as opposed to the 1. In fact I have never noticed it before.

Whoever is the Scott Boras client

don't know about the math, but the 600 PA guy can only be injured for a max of 3 games a pop while the less then 600 PA guy can go down for the dreaded 15 gamer. This applies no matter how many injury chances a player has.

- The Sheik