milleram wrote:... Escobar's price may be effected, at least slightly. They may have priced him as a 3 game injury max, where a 0 injury should have cost a little more. Not sure at this low a price if it would be significant, but maybe someone with more insight to the pricing of players may know.
I've estimated that for 15-game injury guys, each worse rating -- relative to a 1-injury rating -- is worth one-fourteenth ("simple" rate, not compounding). That is, a 14m player with a 2-injury would be worth 15m with a 1-injury (to use an impossible but easy to understand math example); a 14m player with a 3-inj would be worth about 16m with a 1-inj.
I think going from 1-inj with 3 max to 1-inj or 0-inj with zero max (practically, anyone with 680 PA) would increase it by only a half or third as much -- 1/28th or 1/42nd, or thereabouts (the exact figure hardly matters). The fact is, a 1-inj with 3 max will miss only about 50 innings a year (on average over many seasons) even if started everyday and never removed deliberately. The zero-inj. thus gains only about 50 innings of value over 162 games playing every inning including extra innings.
For Escobar, the increase over his price would be maybe .04m to .06m -- not much.
EDIT: Had to clean this up to clarify that the equation was devised to be arithmetical ("simple" rate), relative to a 1-injury with a 15-game max.