Wed Aug 16, 2017 1:42 pm
My pattern looks more like lose two of three, get swept, lose two of three, get swept, lose two of three. Then, when I'm 20 games out of first, it's win two of three, sweep, win two of three, sweep.
Anybody who has seen Brain Games knows about "patternicity" and the hardwiring of our brains to perceive things that aren't really there (i.e., mistaking the wind in the bushes for a lion in the bushes, thereby erring on the side of caution and all that). Going one step further, it's very hard to process a lone liberal communist nut job gunning down an iconic president, despite the evidence that that was precisely the case. How can that POSSIBLY be?? (an argument for another forum, obviously).
Although this has been building somewhat gradually over the past three seasons or so, based on posts from other managers whom I respect, I've been mentally noting a certain level of frustration with the game.
Here's where we are today:
Manager (lifetime win pct), 2016 win pct
Riggo (.550) .512
Cristano (.550) .506
steve F (.544) .473
Radagast Brown (.544) .527
J-Pav (.537) .513
wjb23 (.533) .514
Terry101 (.530) .504
That's seven competent managers with an average .540 lifetime win pct (possibly inflated somewhat with some ATG and mystery game game stats, but that's neither here nor there) who are currently playing just over .500 ball (.510).
In the meantime, there are managers fairing a bit better: for instance, edge, Jeep, stevep107 and mesquiton are playing around their respective lifetime averages. However, I find it a little interesting that Altec, durantjerry, coffeeholic and luckyman seem to have gravitated completely away from 200x.
False patterns? Random noise? Lion in the bushes?
I'm wondering where things are heading from here...