NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

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Spider 67

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostFri Nov 03, 2017 2:36 pm

joethejet wrote:Closing in on 81 games. Only a couple of teams look like they are struggling to stay in the race. Who's going to make some moves (and some have already been made) to move up or stay where they are?

Spider 67 wrote:I HATE playing in Coors!!


Well, Spidey looks like GAP isn't much better for you.... :o


Au contraction, Jet I only gave you 16 for my 6 runs - the trend is looking up. :shock: ;)
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joethejet

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostFri Nov 03, 2017 4:59 pm

Spider 67 wrote:
joethejet wrote:Closing in on 81 games. Only a couple of teams look like they are struggling to stay in the race. Who's going to make some moves (and some have already been made) to move up or stay where they are?

Spider 67 wrote:I HATE playing in Coors!!


Well, Spidey looks like GAP isn't much better for you.... :o


Au contraction, Jet I only gave you 16 for my 6 runs - the trend is looking up. :shock: ;)


LOL :lol: :lol: 8-)
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostFri Nov 03, 2017 5:17 pm

Damn, spell check changed "contraire" to "contraction" and I didn't catch it. :oops:
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joethejet

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostFri Nov 03, 2017 7:21 pm

Spider 67 wrote:Damn, spell check changed "contraire" to "contraction" and I didn't catch it. :oops:


I was wondering if you were trying to tell me that you were pregnant. ;)
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostSat Nov 04, 2017 7:50 am

joethejet wrote:
Spider 67 wrote:Damn, spell check changed "contraire" to "contraction" and I didn't catch it. :oops:


I was wondering if you were trying to tell me that you were pregnant. ;)


If there's one thing team is NOT, it would be "pregnant." (Lost another 3 last night) :evil:
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joethejet

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostSat Nov 04, 2017 4:40 pm

Ouch Spider.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostMon Nov 06, 2017 12:24 pm

As a reminder, here are Spider's ratings from before the season. I had hoped to post the ratings at lunch today, but just realized that I didn't post the correct files to my google drive.

In any case, anyone want to venture a guess at those who might be under or over performing their ratings?????

Spider 67 wrote:
Sure! Let's see - ignoring my disaster in Games 1 & 3 vs. Stoney - my guys will be 9th in Runs Scored (best will be Nythawk), best in Fielding impact on runs allowed (3 errors in Game 1 :o :shock: ), 4th in Pitching (best will be Doug), and 4th in Run Differential (already down 14 :roll: ).

East division will be a dogfight and the strongest.

My playoff forecast: Doug, Semper, JTJ and yours truly
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostTue Nov 07, 2017 8:19 am

joethejet wrote:As a reminder, here are Spider's ratings from before the season. I had hoped to post the ratings at lunch today, but just realized that I didn't post the correct files to my google drive.

In any case, anyone want to venture a guess at those who might be under or over performing their ratings?????

Spider 67 wrote:
Sure! Let's see - ignoring my disaster in Games 1 & 3 vs. Stoney - my guys will be 9th in Runs Scored (best will be Nythawk), best in Fielding impact on runs allowed (3 errors in Game 1 :o :shock: ), 4th in Pitching (best will be Doug), and 4th in Run Differential (already down 14 :roll: ).

East division will be a dogfight and the strongest.

My playoff forecast: Doug, Semper, JTJ and yours truly


You WOULD bring this up! :lol: :oops: :shock:
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joethejet

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostTue Nov 07, 2017 7:20 pm

I brought it up Spider because I'm posting my ratings so I thought it would make it easier to compare.

I did these before last night's games so things could have changed a little.

All the ratings

Code: Select all
Team...   O...   P...   F..   P+F.   Ovrl   Div
Smokey.   8396   4960   188   5148   3248   W
JoeTJet   8430   4764   427   5191   3239   E
Spider.   7820   4574   190   4764   3056   W
Falcon.   8086   4496   545   5041   3046   E
Gbrooke   8392   5233   253   5486   2906   C
SemperG   7663   4506   273   4779   2884   C
Stoney.   8316   5033   449   5483   2833   W
Jeep...   8072   4720   526   5246   2826   W
Dale...   7724   4501   425   4926   2798   C
Doug...   8443   4762   898   5659   2784   E
nythawk   8535   5218   567   5784   2747   C
BigAlrc   7862   5010   202   5212   2649   E

Here are the division break downs. Best Offense is in the East (not a surprise with those parks). Also not surprising that their pitching is the worst, but not that much over the Central. Best rating is the West. Ratings would say that the Central is the weakest division. So far the jury's a bit out due to the extreme nature of Semper and Doug's intradivisional records, but we can say that the West has done the poorest intradivisional.

Code: Select all
Divi   Offn   Ptch   Fld   P+F   Overall
East   8023   4754   389   5119   2878
Cent   8339   4745   514   5260   3079
West   8073   4944   332   5277   2797


Overall - Spider and Doug have been disappointing while Semper and Big A have done better than the ratings would expect. Smoke is a bit low also and Jeep a bit high.

Ratings would suggest that Spider and Smoke are the best two in the West, JTJ and Falcon battling in the East and the Central being the weakest division, but really a four way shootout although Hawk would be a long shot.

The reality? Big A is hanging around, to the surprise of the ratings, in the east, but Doug is about where expected.
Central - Semper's one run record, +9, is the biggest reason this division is out of whack. The pythag w/l are more in line with what the ratings would expect out of this division.
West - Jeep has surprised the ratings, but the overall performance of this division has surprised the ratings. Part of this, of course, is stoney's amazing -13 one run record while Smokey is a -5. smokey's pythag would put him in line with his rating.

Code: Select all
Team Ov   Ovrl   Rtg   Rec   Dif   
Smokey.   3248   2   5   -3   W
JoeTJet   3239   2   4   -2   E
Spider.   3056   4   8   -4   W
Falcon.   3046   4   4   0   E
Gbrooke   2906   6   4   2   C
SemperG   2884   6   2   4   C
Stoney.   2833   7   9   -2   W
Jeep...   2826   7   4   3   W
Dale...   2798   7   5   2   C
Doug...   2784   7   11   -4   E
nythawk   2747   8   7   1   C
BigAlrc   2649   9   5   4   E


Offense

Doug's offense has been much worse than the ratings would expect and Semper much better. JTJ and GB are a bit low also.

Code: Select all
Team Of   O   Rtg   Run   Dif   
nythawk   8535   1   2   -1   C
Doug...   8443   2   8   -6   E
JoeTJet   8430   2   5   -3   E
Smokey.   8396   2   4   -2   W
Gbrooke   8392   2   5   -3   C
Stoney.   8316   3   5   -2   W
Falcon.   8086   7   5   2   E
Jeep...   8072   7   6   1   W
BigAlrc   7862   10   8   2   E
Spider.   7820   10   10   0   W
Dale...   7724   11   9   2   C
SemperG   7663   12   7   5   C


Pitching and fielding - Spider is waaaay lower than the ratings expect while Stoney is high. GB would also be considered a bit high

Code: Select all
Team PF   P+F   Rtg   Run   Dif   
Spider.   4764   1   7   -6   W
SemperG   4779   1   1   0   C
Dale...   4926   3   2   1   C
Falcon.   5041   4   3   1   E
Smokey.   5148   5   3   2   W
JoeTJet   5191   6   7   -1   E
BigAlrc   5212   6   4   2   E
Jeep...   5246   6   6   0   W
Stoney.   5483   9   5   4   W
Gbrooke   5486   9   6   3   C
Doug...   5659   11   12   -1   E
nythawk   5784   12   10   2   C


Fielding - Smoke, Spider and Big A are at the top while Doug is the worst by a looooong shot.

Code: Select all
Fieldng   FRt
Smokey.   188
Spider.   190
BigAlrc   202
Gbrooke   253
SemperG   273
Dale...   425
JoeTJet   427
Stoney.   449
Jeep...   526
Falcon.   545
nythawk   567
Doug...   898


So, Spider, the ratings agree with you on Semper and JTJ, and to an extent yourself, but not so much on Doug. It agrees with you on fielding and Hawk on offense, but not Doug in pitching (although the ratings only have him middle of the pack in pure pitching) because you didn't take into account his incredibly poor fielding.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD46 - The Petite Oakland Trio League

PostWed Nov 08, 2017 12:28 am

Man, Semper just owns me. It's not so much that we lose to him, but he just SHELLS our RHP and he's really not all that great v RHP. Of course, getting 4 of 5 1-11 bpsi's and a 1-3 and a 1-4 x-chart hits help a little too.


We feel lucky to get out of there with a 2-0 win in game three. Glad to be done playing him for sure. We finished 3-9 against him. :( :cry:
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