Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

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Salty

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Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

PostThu Mar 01, 2018 5:31 pm

If a guy has say 40 Homeruns and 20 or so doubles--

why does his card have more than 3 times the (not even counting BP) homerun chances to doubles?

I've only looked at about 10 or 15 cards from the set so far, but can't figure out how the stats match up to the actual card.


Salty
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ScumbyJr

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Re: Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

PostThu Mar 01, 2018 5:40 pm

I have no idea what the formula is, but they must factor in a greater number of doubles from the pitcher cards and off the X fielding chart.
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Salty

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Re: Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

PostThu Mar 01, 2018 5:44 pm

ScumbyJr wrote:I have no idea what the formula is, but they must factor in a greater number of doubles from the pitcher cards and off the X fielding chart.



There are also cards where it goes the other way-- more doubles less HRs and still just doesn't add up.
Card after Card Im looking at-- lots not making much sense to me--

Take a look at Daniel Murphys card with a .384 OBP then compare it to Matt Carpenter's .384 OBP or a number of other cards.
Im just shaking my head here-- makes no sense to me.
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STEVE F

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Re: Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

PostThu Mar 01, 2018 5:52 pm

Murphy/Carpenter can largely be explained by the parks they played in.
As for the set as a whole, I think it's similiar to the 1987 set where there were so many HR's, the pitchers got punished more so as not to make the hitters "too good".
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ScumbyJr

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Re: Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

PostThu Mar 01, 2018 6:06 pm

Salty wrote:
ScumbyJr wrote:I have no idea what the formula is, but they must factor in a greater number of doubles from the pitcher cards and off the X fielding chart.



There are also cards where it goes the other way-- more doubles less HRs and still just doesn't add up.
Card after Card Im looking at-- lots not making much sense to me--

Take a look at Daniel Murphys card with a .384 OBP then compare it to Matt Carpenter's .384 OBP or a number of other cards.
Im just shaking my head here-- makes no sense to me.


One difference is Murphy has a high positive clutch rating which will lead to much more IBB than Carpenter. The card results do not factor in IBB.
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Salty

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Re: Can someone explain the formula for these 2017 cards?

PostThu Mar 01, 2018 6:38 pm

STEVE F wrote:Murphy/Carpenter can largely be explained by the parks they played in.
As for the set as a whole, I think it's similiar to the 1987 set where there were so many HR's, the pitchers got punished more so as not to make the hitters "too good".


That's probably true of the HRs -- but shouldn't they be consistent then from card to card?

Also Scumby- yes on the high clutch rating, I see that also.

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