- Posts: 953
- Joined: Sat Mar 04, 2017 12:34 am
Mon Apr 09, 2018 9:11 pm
All good points and I would not disagree at all. Just posting some data. As they say, there are, "...lies, damn lies, and statistics" 
I'm hoping the standings stay as they are the rest of the way. That would allow me to play Cristano in the semi's, who I finished 8-4 against. He has always been my favorite customer.
Hallerose vs Lab should be interesting, Lab won the series 7-5 and plays in the toughest division, My money would be on Lab in that matchup, although I would be rooting for Hallerose for reasons that will become evident shortly.
Given that I have the best record of any team in the league against division mates, if I somehow finagled the best record in the league by continuing my divisional dominance in the final 30 games, I would be punished by having to potentially face Lab against whom I was only 3-9. Ugh. Then Cristano would face Hallerose in the other semi finals; he beat Hallerose 6 out of 9. Fortunately this seems to be the least likely scenario.
Just a note on dice rolls. Mine sucked early but my hitters have turned it around and are now in the plus column (+75) but opposing hitters have rolled more on their cards (-93) than on my pitcher's cards. Lab has a huge plus in his favor and Hallerose the worst minus differential. Cristano was doing well early on but of late has suffered and now has negative roll differentials both ways. However, as far as Hallerose goes, his biggest negative differential is opposing hitters rolling on their own cards more. Thing is, if you look at the actual performance of his pitching staff, only Sutter and Wood have performed well and the rest of his starting pitching basically sucks (with the very occasional exception of Sutton in certain parks) both in terms of potential and actual performance. Wagner obviously shouldn't suck, but he has. Anyway, it may even benefit Hallerose to have opposing hitters roll more on their own cards than on his pitchers cards. I think Hallerose benefits from being in clearly the weakest division as well so I believe he may not fare as well in the playoffs as he appears to believe he is entitled to.
Several teams rolled the dice with injuries as well, having multiple 15 game injury risks. By and large there have not been crippling injuries which has been to my detriment since I have the least injury prone team in the league, at least among the current leaders.
Congrats on reaching the Finals Cristano !