33 Game Winning Streak

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Hack Wilson

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Re: 31 Game Winning Streak and Counting (thru 8/20 games)

PostFri Aug 24, 2018 7:37 pm

What are the odds of a 33 game winning streak? How would one figure that out, my sabermetric friends? One in how XX many teams are likely to achieve a 33 game winning streak? We'd all like to know.
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egvrich

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Re: 31 Game Winning Streak and Counting (thru 8/20 games)

PostSat Aug 25, 2018 8:55 am

Hack Wilson wrote:What are the odds of a 33 game winning streak? How would one figure that out, my sabermetric friends? One in how XX many teams are likely to achieve a 33 game winning streak? We'd all like to know.


All things being equal ... 1 in 2 x 1 in 2 x 1 in 2 ... 33 times. Of course home field, quality of team, quality of opponent all factor in.

So if you assume his is a great team, maybe it's ... 2 in 3 X 2 in 3 X 2 in 3 ... 33 times. Anyway you slice it it's amazing.

If my logic and math is correct, it would be about 1 in 647,000 ...... :o :shock:
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JoeyC

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Re: 31 Game Winning Streak and Counting (thru 8/20 games)

PostSat Aug 25, 2018 11:00 am

egvrich wrote:I see it ended at 33 games. Best I've ever seen. Simply amazing.

Sadly, it is probably the precursor to a 1st round playoff exit ... At least it would be if it were my team. :lol:


It was indeed a fun and interesting streak. Hard to fathom that it basically lasted for 20% of a season.

The streak came to an end at 33 games. After winning the first two games of a series, Jeff Bagwell represented the potential tying run during a rally in the bottom of the 9th - only to fly out.

Looking ahead to the playoffs - the likely opponent is a worthy competitor who has been a thorn to some prior playoff teams. Will keep you posted.

JoeyC
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