Mon May 27, 2019 1:12 pm
Okay J-Pav, I finally got a pc after spending the last 3 years on only using my phone, and it is hard to get to the posts on the phone.
I ran an experiment back in 2011 or 2012 where I put the starting pitching all at the top (the same 4 or 5 pitchers) and I didn't really care about the 'hitting' per se, to see if there was any correlation to getting some of the top pitchers and then just getting solid hitters but taking what i could get since the entire hitting lineup was after the 10 or 11 pitchers taken in the draft.
Of the 7 teams that I did this way, 6 of the 7 made the playoffs with 3 Championships. I repeated the experiement the following year but I did it with the hitters only. Now, many people go after certain positions (SS, 2B, CF) where it was hard to get the exact same lineup, which made the experiment a bit difficult to perform. I did end up with the exact same team (hitters) 3x but only 1 of the 3 made the playoffs.
So, then i tried picking teams that had 'extreme' performances... not just making the playoffs but teams that had 95+ win seasons and repeating them to see if the results were the same. Those teams hit on a 80% rate round about and then, as J-Pav creating this post, I tried copying teams that won championships, with 88 wins or higher, and i found that those teams made the playoffs more frequently.
I have also done experiements where i tried to get players that were typically considered the 'value' players and comprising the team largely of them. This, i found, to be the best indicator as to how well a team will do.
Well, so far this year, my first team had a 98 win season, so i'm repeating it 3 more times to see if i see the same results...
MOre to follow. BTW, the team won the championship...