I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

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gkhd11a

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostSun Nov 29, 2020 2:04 pm

As for Nev’s original thoughts of how unlucky he was
1) Based on entering 28 leagues random luck of only winning 1 title is a 28% chance

2) however once you make the playoffs 25 of those 28 winning only one title in 25 1 in 4 chances is 3 in 10,000.


So if you get 3,333 individual runs of making playoffs 25 of 28 you should see only one win after another 93,000 leagues assuming you continue to win at this rate Nev.

However the odds on winning 8 titles in a row randomly as Last Druid did is one in 430 million

So when people say this will balance out, how in the world is that possible? We playing another 430 million leagues?
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The Last Druid

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostSun Nov 29, 2020 2:17 pm

Didn't win 8 in a row, won 8 out of 12. teams in a row. Nothing I haven't done before either. Titles tend to come in bunches for me, interspersed with droughts of varying lengths. My ATG 9 playoff percentage was under .500 for the first half dozen teams to finish. Last time i looked it was .553 for regular ATG9 teams and .545 for playoff ATG9 teams.

If you look at the parks I used during the 12 seasons, you can see I was just experimenting with the efficacy of small ball at various caps in ATG 9, with the vast majority of teams played. I view all of my teams as experiments

The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $140M CHAMPS summers end Forbes Field '57 1st 91-71 -
tHE wRONG sTUFF ⚾️ ATG9 All $250M missed playoffs Saturday Night Live Draft ATG ... Exhibition Stdm 1977 2nd 78-84 4.0
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $80M CHAMPS Auto League 450528 Royals Stadium '80 2nd 88-74 10.0
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $120M CHAMPS Boys of Summer $120K NO DH Washington Park (NeL) 1st 87-75 -
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $125M CHAMPS The Reality League Royals Stadium '80 1st 98-64 -
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $140M lost Finals 140 Mil W/DH Royals Stadium '80 2nd 88-74 3.0
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $200M lost Semi-Finals a LONG time ago Royals Stadium '80 1st 83-79 -
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $100M CHAMPS Covid Crush Comiskey Park 1927 1st 105-57 -
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $140M CHAMPS United Federation Of Ballclubs... Royals Stadium '80 1st 97-65 -
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $160M CHAMPS Friday - MidCap - MadCap Fenway Park 1948 1st 98-64 -
The Wrong Stuff ✉️ ⚾️ ATG9 1901+ $85M missed playoffs 3 Year combo Exhibition Stdm 1977 2nd 80-82 7.0
The Wrong Stuff ⚾️ ATG9 All $100M CHAMPS Darlington County Hilltop Park '11 2nd 94-68 5.0
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STEVENSTEFFANNI

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostSun Nov 29, 2020 9:21 pm

its mostly pure luck anyway!!!!lol
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honestiago

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostSun Nov 29, 2020 10:03 pm

Oh....gosh...what a...TERRIBLE thing to have all those playoff teams and come up empty. That’s just...tragic... :roll:
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nevdully's

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostMon Nov 30, 2020 12:39 am

Lost another Finals tonight in game 6 to my friend DVT...and the beat goes on.
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Treyomo

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostMon Nov 30, 2020 10:11 am

Someone has to be on the other end of the fortune - right now it's me - not hitting a high % of teams in the playoffs, but have won titles with 4 of my last 5 playoff teams. My overall win % is actually slightly higher in playoffs than regular season, probably because I play around with experiments that turn into turds that drive down overall win %.
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jet40

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostMon Nov 30, 2020 7:15 pm

Only 8 completed teams in ATG All Era's
Regular season .566
Playoffs .429
Zero titles.
Only one team made the Finals ( 5 lost in semi's). That team was up 3-0 to The Last Druid before he came storming back to win 4 straight.
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Valen

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostMon Nov 30, 2020 9:28 pm

Not hard to explain at all.

2020

I would quit playing teams until 2021 gets here.
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nevdully's

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostMon Nov 30, 2020 10:31 pm

Seeing the best and others struggle takes some of the sting out. Thanks guys. (and I think Valen is right :)
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STEVE F

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Re: I've Made the Playoffs With 25 0f My Last 28 Teams..

PostMon Nov 30, 2020 11:39 pm

Valen makes a very good point. :idea:
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