NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

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joethejet

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostMon Aug 09, 2021 12:34 pm

Stoney18 wrote:Swept by Joe and took it out on BigA last night. 31-5 in the series


Wow! Glad we didn't play your team when you were healthy!
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostTue Aug 10, 2021 1:39 am

LOL

Milleram has one steal this season, he's 1 for 1!!! :lol:
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostWed Aug 11, 2021 6:18 pm

Ratings are done. I just realized I never posted NLD History so I will do that soon.

Code: Select all
Team...   O...   P...   F..   P+F.   Ovrl   Div
JoeTJet   8851   4391   476   4867   3984   W
Stoney.   8089   4076   189   4265   3824   W
Spider.   8711   4610   426   5036   3675   E
SemperG   8287   4391   225   4616   3671   C
KLX....   8711   4842   237   5078   3632   E
Randal.   8406   4350   459   4808   3598   W
BigAlrc   7949   4396   133   4529   3420   E
hawk...   8131   4215   510   4725   3406   W
Jeep...   8568   4453   727   5181   3387   C
Millerm   8634   4533   741   5274   3360   C
toshiro   8505   4664   522   5186   3319   C
Dale...   7915   4653   489   5142   2773   E

Per usual, the ratings for 100 mil leagues are close. I have teams ranked between 2 and 8 with the exception of one team so that tells you.

Ratings say:
East - Spider and KLX in a close race. With Big A hanging on the fringes maybe and Dale not having a chance (to be fair, his current team is -6 mil so...)

Central - Semper is the hands down best rated team in this division. The other three are close to each other but the ratings wouldn't expect them to be all that close to Semper barring big one run win differential.

West - JTJ and Stoney are the two best rated teams in the league. Randal would be expected to be in the WC race but Hawk would not be expected to be in the running in this tough division.

Actual Situation
East - KLX is running away with it. Surprising that Spider is below .500 with a -50 Run Dif. He is underperforming his ratings across the board however. Not surprising the Big A and Dale aren't close.

Central - Semp *is* in first, but it's surprising that Jeep is so close and sporting a -10 one run record. His fielding is terrible which has a big effect on his rating. That must not be hurting him. toshiro and Miller and not surprising to the ratings.

West - An impossibly close race with all four teams in the race. Hawk's rating was definitely affected by his moves which left him -3 mil on the cap.

Still, most of the teams are pretty good as it's a lot harder to be bad with $100 mil to play with.

Code: Select all
Divi   Offn   Ptch   Fld   P+F   Overall
East   8321   4625   321   4946   3375
Cent   8498   4510   554   5064   3434
West   8369   4258   408   4666   3703


The West is a beast with ratings, on average, 300 better than the next closest division! :shock: (Just my luck)

Central has the best hitting and the worst fielding. Best pitching is in the West and the Best D in the East.

Code: Select all
Team Ov   Ovrl   Rtg   Rec   Dif   
JoeTJet   3984   2   2   0   W
Stoney.   3824   3   4   -1   W
Spider.   3675   4   6   -2   E
SemperG   3671   4   4   0   C
KLX....   3632   5   3   2   E
Randal.   3598   5   2   3   W
BigAlrc   3420   7   10   -3   E
hawk...   3406   7   2   5   W
Jeep...   3387   7   4   3   C
Millerm   3360   7   9   -2   C
toshiro   3319   8   7   1   C
Dale...   2773   12   12   0   E


The ratings are close overall. Big A is the farthest from the expectation and Hawk is the biggest over performer by a lot. Randal and Jeep are somewhat over also.

Code: Select all
Team Of   O   Rtg   Run   Dif   
JoeTJet   8851   1   2   -1   W
Spider.   8711   3   5   -2   E
KLX....   8711   3   2   1   E
Millerm   8634   4   7   -3   C
Jeep...   8568   5   3   2   C
toshiro   8505   6   5   1   C
Randal.   8406   7   7   0   W
SemperG   8287   8   8   0   C
hawk...   8131   10   8   2   W
Stoney.   8089   10   8   2   W
BigAlrc   7949   12   12   0   E
Dale...   7915   12   9   3   E


Offenses are pretty close overall. Miller and Spider are a bit low. Jeep, hawk and stoney a bit high.

Code: Select all
Team PF   P+F   Rtg   Run   Dif   
Stoney.   4265   1   2   -1   W
BigAlrc   4529   2   3   -1   E
SemperG   4616   3   1   2   C
hawk...   4725   4   1   3   W
Randal.   4808   6   2   4   W
JoeTJet   4867   6   5   1   W
Spider.   5036   8   10   -2   E
KLX....   5078   8   6   2   E
Dale...   5142   9   8   1   E
Jeep...   5181   10   6   4   C
toshiro   5186   10   12   -2   C
Millerm   5274   11   11   0   C


On the defensive side Jeep and Randal way over with Hawk over also. Spider and Toshiro are a little bit low.
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostWed Aug 11, 2021 7:38 pm

It's clear Spider needs to hire a new GM! Kershaw and Nola seem to get a kick out of challenging the hitters - it's not working! (staff is down 54 in HRs) After Bass, my relievers suck. Iglesias is fielding OK, but I'm not paying him to field!

Joe, thanks again for the ratings. It's one of the nice benefits (in addition to great competition) of being part of the NLD.
Last edited by Spider 67 on Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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klx22

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostWed Aug 11, 2021 8:04 pm

Thx, Joe! Have been waiting to see this, was curious what the ratings said about our squad. Was hard to fight the urge to change the team up, I know that lowers them. Thought we may be rated a little better than we are.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostThu Aug 12, 2021 2:06 am

Never fails. I post the ratings and then tank. Got swept by the team with the worst record in the league. Both with blown saves in the bottom of the 9th. We finish 5-7 versus the Centurions. Ugh.

Left 22 on in the first two games, losing by 1 and 2 runs.
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RandyW64

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostThu Aug 12, 2021 12:58 pm

Thank you for doing the ratings, Joe. I agree with Keith that is one of the perks of being in this league.

And -- since my team has lost the lost the last 6 out of 9 series' (one of the three wins was the sweep of the Mowglis--- oops, was that out loud :) ) --- it seems the ratings are spot on that my team has been overperforming!

Although last season being rated okay, and then getting annihilated and swept out of the playoffs wasn't much fun either.

Thank you again Joe!
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostThu Aug 12, 2021 2:16 pm

Hi Guys,

Glad you're enjoying the ratings. I always think it's interesting too and I like to see where you guys think they might be wrong.

Luck Factors

Code: Select all
Mgr .. .   SI   HR   1-R   Pyt   Rolls   UE/E   Inj   Luck Fctr
Hawk...   +17%   +3%   +4   +1   +2.4%   61%   -23   2.5
BigA...   +7%   -2%   -1   -1   -1.1%   49%   -32   1
Randal.   -12%   +2%   -2   +1   +1.8%   58%   -58   1
Semper.   -6%   -0%   +6   -1   -0.1%   53%   -21   1
Millerm   +2%   -0%   -2   +2   +1.7%   70%   -26   0
toshiro   -4%   -6%   +4   +4   -0.9%   42%   +41   0
Jeep...   +15%   +6%   -10   -4   -0.9%   65%   -51   -0.5
Spider.   -11%   +4%   +5   +4   -2.5%   52%   -49   -0.5
dale...   +6%   +0%   -7   -3   +0.0%   64%   -38   -1.5
JTJ....   -5%   -11%   -1   -3   -1.0%   62%   -38   -3
KLX....   -17%   -13%   0    -1   +0.4%   64%   -27   -3.5
Stoney.   +4%   -14%   +4   0    +0.5%   62%   +17   -4


Hawk has been the luckiest so far, 17% dif on bpsis and been rolling on his cards more than anyone

Three guys have been unlucky: Stoney mostly on a horrible bphr ratio, but also more injuries than expected.
KLX - been really bad at both bp numbers
JTJ - A really bad bphr and also diff to the pythag

All the other teams are pretty close.

Fielding

Code: Select all
Fieldng   FRt   Rtg   F%   Dif   
BigAlrc   133   2   3   -1   E
Stoney.   189   2   1   1   W
SemperG   225   3   5   -2   C
KLX....   237   4   1   3   E
Spider.   426   6   4   2   E
Randal.   459   6   6   0   W
JoeTJet   476   6   8   -2   W
Dale...   489   6   5   1   E
hawk...   510   7   8   -1   W
toshiro   522   7   7   0   C
Jeep...   727   11   11   0   C
Millerm   741   11   12   -1   C


Pretty close as usual. KLX probably shouldn't be in a virtual tie for the best fielding, but he *does* have one of the better fielding teams.
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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostThu Aug 12, 2021 2:53 pm

How is the 'Inj' from Luck Factors chart generated?
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Re: NLD 57 - Yo hon, it's a Johan NLD

PostThu Aug 12, 2021 2:54 pm

I was only feeling unlucky for landing in the toughest division. Now I feel even more unlucky!
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