POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

Moderator: Palmtana

Do you believe there is some kind of "Re-Injury" code in HAL's Black Box of Tricks

Yep, seen it too many times to deny it exists!
24
29%
Nope, merely coincidence, nothing more!
58
71%
 
Total votes : 82

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MaxPower

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostFri May 13, 2022 9:57 pm

I have a database of 500 ATG9 leagues from 2020. I'd analyze any of this nonsense if I thought it would change anyone's mind.
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FrankieT

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostFri May 13, 2022 10:00 pm

You don't think it would? I am pretty confident 500 leagues would show a normal distribution that would put it to rest.
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MaxPower

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostFri May 13, 2022 10:03 pm

People believe this stuff because they want to, a normal distribution isn't going to change the things they want.
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FrankieT

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostFri May 13, 2022 10:08 pm

C'mon then Austin prove me wrong...I need to see the proof of that assertion
:)
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djmacb

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostSat May 14, 2022 2:09 am

MaxPower wrote:People believe this stuff because they want to, a normal distribution isn't going to change the things they want.

Data is not going to change anyone's opinion about "I'm getting screwed !!!"
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egvrich

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostSat May 14, 2022 7:21 am

nevdully's wrote:For me, when I talk about recurring injuries, it's to show it really could be a black box type of thing, not too complain that it happens...but the only way to show that it might be happening, is to post "Whoa is me" examples.


What he said ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

It's not THAT it happened, it's WHY it happened!!!
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nevdully's

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostSat May 14, 2022 7:27 am

MaxPower wrote:People believe this stuff because they want to, a normal distribution isn't going to change the things they want.



Same from both sides bc I've been down that path with the Charlies on this site...give them a season they say it's not 50 seasons...give them 500 seasons and they say "but what if we looked at another 500".... :roll:
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Salty

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostSat May 14, 2022 11:41 am

The thing is that sometimes looking at the overall data isn't whats needed-
you have to look at WHO is getting injured and how frequently-

For example:
shouldn't an injury 1 1-3 get injured similarly or slightly more often than an injury 1 1-15? (bc they latter is out longer, therefor should be less overall ABs)
Is that whats happening?

Another thing that needs to be checked- does SoM aggregate your rosters injury chances?

Admittedly anecdotal, but Ive noticed when you have some higher frequency inj guys, some of the 1s tend to get
hurt more often.
Again, not claiming this is anything but observation-

However, simply looking at the overall amount of injuries doesn't give you the full picture.
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gkhd11a

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostSat May 14, 2022 11:50 am

Is there a bug that causes players that hit a home run to hit another in ther next at bat? In the other thread celebrating Gomez 6 consecutive Home runs that is 1,541 times less likely than a catcher with an injury on 2 getting hurt as he did in 80 games. If you take into account it takes 80 games to see the injury "bug" there should be 20 examples of a player being hurt 5 times in 80 games for every player that hits 6 home runs in a game.
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nevdully's

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Re: POLL ... Is there some kind of RE-injury bug?

PostSat May 14, 2022 12:01 pm

gkhd11a wrote:Is there a bug that causes players that hit a home run to hit another in ther next at bat?



Depends....sometimes there's an, ahem "momentum bug" that might cause that... or an, ahem, an unseen "pitch around bug" that might be preventing that.
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