zamboni wrote:Black box stuff or not, wouldn't one expect some regression to the mean to occur from any extremely good or bad short term results? Not saying there isn't stuff going on we may not know about fully behind the curtain, but regression to the mean is a pretty normal concept in the land of statistics.
For sure- some regression to the mean is normal -
don't think anyone would argue against that.
Its the 'once in a blue moon' things that tend to happen with some frequency-
and a few don't seem to get that its not just when your player or team does poorly-
we notice it when say a not great hitter or a team far outplays what it should too,
it doesn't just go one way.