1st inning randomness???

Moderator: Palmtana

  • Author
  • Message
Offline

STEVENSTEFFANNI

  • Posts: 192
  • Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2020 4:44 pm

1st inning randomness???

PostFri Jan 06, 2023 11:56 pm

https://365.strat-o-matic.com/game/play ... 462864/750 never seen a string of rolls in a row like this before in any inning
Offline

gkhd11a

  • Posts: 569
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 3:53 pm

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:02 am

I once had a game start with 16 rolls on the hitters card for my opponent. Usually bad things happen then.
Offline

FrankieT

  • Posts: 1313
  • Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:07 am
  • Location: Usually Somewhere Else

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:10 am

I've seen many innings like that either for my team or the opposing. Of course, not 1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1 but something like 4-4-5-4-4-6-5-2-4-5-3-5-6

Looks like the rolls off the 6d were:
1 2 3 2 2 3 1 2 2 2 5

Looks like a plausible set of rolls of a 6 sided die.
I wonder if SOM were 1,3,5 for hitter and 2,4,6 for pitcher would you feel the same way? The odds would be the same of course. But the outcomes would be different.

Or in plain terms...ever play Yahtzee? :)
Otherwise, notsure what random test you are alluding to

In fact here is my test for randomness:
If the 6d rollset looks like 123456123456123456123456123456
then some will say perfectly "fair". And of course it would be perfectly un-random and should be viewed as such. That's when we worry. Not the rolls you highlighted. Those inspire confidence of randomness. Yes.
Last edited by FrankieT on Sat Jan 07, 2023 12:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
Offline

STEVENSTEFFANNI

  • Posts: 192
  • Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2020 4:44 pm

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:22 am

interesting of the 10 consecutive rolls except for the sacrifice bunt all rolls put the batter on base...guess sometimes i wonder how random the rolls can be as many point out on here these rolls are possible with real dice but 10 times in a row all resulting in a positive outcome for the hitter makes me wonder...and these were not the 27 Yankees batting
Offline

STEVENSTEFFANNI

  • Posts: 192
  • Joined: Sat Mar 28, 2020 4:44 pm

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:27 am

im just making conversation..ive come to accept whether there is more to the rolls that occur in this game or not it is what it is...I dont get too excited about it either way anymore
Offline

FrankieT

  • Posts: 1313
  • Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:07 am
  • Location: Usually Somewhere Else

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:40 am

The columnar results from the cards were 3 8 7 7 5 9 4 10 12 7 7
rolling 2 six sided dice yields the following potential ways to make those numbers, from highest frequency to lowest:
Can roll a (7) in 6 ways
8 or 6 in 5 ways each
9 or 5 in 4 ways each
10 or 4 in 3 ways each
11 or 3 in 2 ways each
12 or 2 in 1 way each
36 total ways (combinations)

Here were the most common outcomes even in this non-valid tiny statistical "sample":
7,7,7,7
8
5,9
4,10
3
12

Looks pretty good even for a tiny sample.
Last edited by FrankieT on Sat Jan 07, 2023 12:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
Offline

FrankieT

  • Posts: 1313
  • Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:07 am
  • Location: Usually Somewhere Else

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:42 am

STEVENSTEFFANNI wrote:im just making conversation..ive come to accept whether there is more to the rolls that occur in this game or not it is what it is...I dont get too excited about it either way anymore

Hey that I GET!
Dude--it SUCKS!
I get pissed off when I lose to a team that had a 10% chance of beating me. Hell or even a 49% chance! I get that totally.
So conversation made. Hey it is good to revisit this stuff anyway to keep ourselves reminded of the mechanics, or even if one day...
Offline

BaseballFan25

  • Posts: 84
  • Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 10:54 am

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 2:12 am

This game can be a rollercoaster ride at times. Anything can happen.
Offline

MtheB

  • Posts: 159
  • Joined: Fri Jun 04, 2021 12:00 pm
  • Location: A galaxy far far away

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 8:28 am

the rule about probability is quite simple.

If it is possible for something to happen, however remote, then at some point,
it will happen.
Last edited by MtheB on Sat Jan 07, 2023 2:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Offline

djmacb

  • Posts: 318
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 7:43 pm

Re: 1st inning randomness???

PostSat Jan 07, 2023 12:32 pm

How crappy must Rick Burleson feel? The first 8 guys get on base scoring 6 runs and HAL sends him up to bunt.
Next

Return to Strat-O-Matic Baseball: All-Time Greats

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: roniwas, tombar3 and 79 guests