NLD 63 - Mad Dog's Revenge

Thanks for that Joe. Nice to see how it all pans out.
I am very surprised at my interdivisional record. I whined about that earlier. Hope it keeps up.

One note: "East- Randal is in first, but surprisingly they have been decent in interdivisional play."
*** comment -- except the 3-9 record vs. jeep! LOL ***

Thanks for posting, Joe. Your ratings are always interesting.

Thanks for that Joe. Nice to see how it all pans out.
I am very surprised at my interdivisional record. I whined about that earlier. Hope it keeps up.

One note: "East- Randal is in first, but surprisingly they have been decent in interdivisional play."
*** comment -- except the 3-9 record vs. jeep! LOL ***

Didn't mean you specifically, but the division. I have modified the post for clarity. Given that the East ratings are the lowest it is surprising to the ratings that they would have a good interdivisional record.

Thanks for posting, Joe. Your ratings are always interesting.

Glad you find them interesting! Comments/complaints are always welcome.

I think Semper looked at your ratings and decided he should get it in gear - he's on a six-game streak.

Luck Factors

Definitely a little different this time around.

No one is significantly lucky. Many teams are a little unlucky. Four teams are kind of unlucky:
Big A - Really behind in bphrs, balanced one run and pytag luck, but unlucky on unearned and Injuries. Kind of weird.
Randal Another HR dif alon with rolling on the other card, but balance by good one run luck
Steve P - bad singles and one runners (really bad) balanced by good injury luck.
Spider - Really behind in rolls, but super weird +7 in one runners, but -3 in pytag (Stoney did similar) how do you do that?

Not sure I"ve seen a +7 one run record along with a -3 or -4 expected record.

Code: Select all

Mgr .. .   SI   HR   1-R   Pyt   Rolls   UE/E   Inj   Luck Fctr
BigA...   -0%   -16%   +7   +5   +0.4%   72%   +59   -2.5
Randal.   +2%   -17%   +6   0    -0.9%   57%   +29   -2
stevep.   -10%   +2%   -10   -1   -0.6%   47%   +32   -2
Spider.   +1%   -0%   +7   -3   -1.5%   59%   +15   -2
Hawk...   +1%   -10%   +3   +2   +0.6%   63%   -13   -1.5
Millerm   +0%   +11%   -12   -4   +0.4%   73%   -9   -1.5
Jeep...   -1%   -7%   +2   -2   +0.2%   67%   +13   -1
JTJ....   -0%   -2%   -5   -1   +0.9%   80%   -7   -1
Semper.   -3%   -9%   -4   -1   -0.5%   49%   -12   -1
KLX....   +7%   -9%   -3   -1   +1.0%   51%   +8   0.5
dale...   -0%   +4%   +2   +3   +0.5%   49%   -30   1
Stoney.   +0%   +1%   +7   -4   -0.5%   36%   +4   1


Fielding

These show a bigger difference than normal, but the ratings and percentages are so close, I'm not sure it's not just the way I'm comparing rating v actual.

Either way, JTJ and Miller look a little low in the actual versus ratings.

Code: Select all

Fieldng   FRt   Rtg   F%   Dif   
Dale...   9   2   1   1   E
Spider.   349   5   4   1   W
stevep.   492   6   5   1   E
Jeep...   503   6   7   -1   C
Stoney.   510   6   7   -1   W
KLX....   512   6   7   -1   C
BigAlrc   538   6   7   -1   E
SemperG   539   6   6   0   W
JoeTJet   645   7   9   -2   C
Millerm   661   7   9   -2   W
hawk...   778   8   8   0   C
Randal.   831   8   10   -2   E


iI hadn't noticed the big clash between my one-run performance and difference from pythag. Here's my distribution of wins / losses by spread:

Wins Spread Losses
27 1 20
8 2 12
9 3 5
3 4 9
1 5 3
5 6 4
4 7 2
1 8 0
1 9 0
3 10 0

So, my team either wins big, wins the tight games or loses.

I shouild have mentioned that one thing that will lead to one run losses in leading the league in blown saves. Lost two more one runners tonight and another BS. Now we have 21 v 33 saves.

I mean, I think that a pen with Duran, Diaz and moore should be pretty good right? Yet, the have 15 BS v 30 saves. That's a pathetic ratio. Ugh.

Ugh. Two more one run losses that included a BS

that's not going to get it done fellas.

We suck. Very tired of losing by one run after a BS. Last night it was a 4-0 lead that Diaz gave up.

Such bad luck is ticking me off. Adames' 2 base error set up last night's debacle.

A sparkling 59% save rate only one team is close to as bad. We have no chance at making a run unless the bullpen pulls its head out.

It's a miracle! A miracle I tell ya! We won, not one, but TWO one run games in the same night!!!! Surely a sign of the apocalypse!

Oh wait, we *did* have a BS so maybe it's not a sign....