- Posts: 291
- Joined: Tue Jan 19, 2021 9:41 pm
I've had 37 teams that won 100 wins or more--a reasonably large sample. Before I looked at the actual results, my impulse would have been to feel that I'd been bitten by the 100 Win curse, but when I look at the actual results, I have to feel that while I haven't been especially lucky, my results are--in Star Trek speak--within normal parameters.
Wins aside, one would expect a set of 37 average playoff teams to lose in the Semis 18.5 times. That means they'd make the Finals 18.5 times. They'd lose in the finals 9.25 times. And they'd be Champs 9.25 times.
Overall, my 100+ win teams have lost in the Semis 17 times. They've made the Finals 20 times. They've won the Finals 8 times. So my 100 win teams haven't done really well in the finals, winning only 8 out of 20. But they've made the finals a shade more than expected. Overall my 8 championships are not that much below the 9.25 championships expected of a team, apart from wins. I've done pretty well making the finals, not so well actually winning the finals.
Still, I would say that while winning 100 games doesn't appear to have HELPED my teams, it hasn't dramatically hurt them, either. To me, it seems that my overall record with 100 win teams is well within the range of random chance.