Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Managers

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gritch

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostThu Jan 04, 2024 8:38 pm

I've had a similar experience and had emailed support. The reply was to the effect of your conclusion - ballpark HR's aren't tracked 100% accurately.
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coyote303

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostFri Jan 05, 2024 12:50 am

gritch wrote:I've had a similar experience and had emailed support. The reply was to the effect of your conclusion - ballpark HR's aren't tracked 100% accurately.

Ugh! Good to know because this is something I have (tried to have) used in determining cards.
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davehaller

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostMon Jan 22, 2024 2:01 am

gritch wrote:I've had a similar experience and had emailed support. The reply was to the effect of your conclusion - ballpark HR's aren't tracked 100% accurately.


This is regrettable and something that would seem to be a straightforward fix.

Also, you ever notice that some of the mystery year cards are different then cards in the original set?

Only example I can think of are wockenfuss 82 mystery vs wockenfuss 82 season are dramatically different.
cant figure out to post the cards so you have to look up the cards on 80s mystery vs 1982 season and compare
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Icterus Galbuli

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostSun Feb 04, 2024 5:51 pm

I have been away for awhile and now back in the game.

In my 60's Mystery League, I just had Reggie Smith injured for 4 games with a groundout vs. LHP

Because he was injured for 4 games, his 1967, 1968, and 1971 cards are eliminated.
The 1969 card is the only one with a go+inj vs. LHP

His 1969 card has a .309 ba and a .895 ops
So after 17 games he has a .212 ba and a .740 ops, just having some bad luck and will turn it around soon?

I'm pretty sure I have this correct, but wanted to make sure I haven't missed something.

thanks,
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Icterus Galbuli

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostMon Feb 05, 2024 12:48 am

If you have a big skew in rolls, will that explain a player's hot or cold performance?

Example: I have Duke Snider in the 60's mystery tournament and he is hitting just .182 with a .681 ops
Through 14 games, I noticed he has 35 rolls for the pitcher card and only 16 for his card. I think this must explain his cold performance because an injury revealed he has one of his two best cards, an average OPS of about .880 between them.
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tdkearns

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostMon Feb 05, 2024 9:22 am

Icterus Galbuli wrote:If you have a big skew in rolls, will that explain a player's hot or cold performance?

Example: I have Duke Snider in the 60's mystery tournament and he is hitting just .182 with a .681 ops
Through 14 games, I noticed he has 35 rolls for the pitcher card and only 16 for his card. I think this must explain his cold performance because an injury revealed he has one of his two best cards, an average OPS of about .880 between them.


Yes
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coyote303

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostTue Feb 06, 2024 1:08 am

Icterus Galbuli wrote:If you have a big skew in rolls, will that explain a player's hot or cold performance?

Example: I have Duke Snider in the 60's mystery tournament and he is hitting just .182 with a .681 ops
Through 14 games, I noticed he has 35 rolls for the pitcher card and only 16 for his card. I think this must explain his cold performance because an injury revealed he has one of his two best cards, an average OPS of about .880 between them.

Definitely keep Snider. One of the biggest errors I see made by managers is when they cut a player for poor performance when the player either has no bad years or it was proven they have a good year.
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Icterus Galbuli

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostWed Feb 14, 2024 8:00 pm

Is 6 games to early to bail on 1970's George Brett if he is 4 for 25, no extra base hits, and 17-10 advantage in Rolls?
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coyote303

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Re: Help w/ reading the cards for Mystery Tournament Manager

PostSun Sep 29, 2024 8:47 pm

Icterus Galbuli wrote:Is 6 games to early to bail on 1970's George Brett if he is 4 for 25, no extra base hits, and 17-10 advantage in Rolls?


I'm way late in my reply, but this question will give me a chance to get on my soap box!

I would say it's too early. Poor results (and conversely good results) are often a poor predictor which card you have unless you have a lot of plate appearances. I see some managers will cut a player for poor performance after just a series or two. 25 appearances, even with 17 off of a player's card, is still too small a sample to determine a player's likely card.

Think about it in reverse. How many times have you had a player start off on a tear and you're thinking "great, he must be on his best card!" only to find out later through an injury reveal that he's actually on an undesirable card? It works both ways.

One more thing I look at also is how is the player doing with ballpark singles and homeruns. Is he doing better or worse than expected?
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