NLD Twenty-Nine!

Postby joethejet » Mon Oct 31, 2011 3:05 pm

Analysis to follow. Note, our rating was a little lower prior to the moves and WAY lower without Tulo (40% of our games). Don't know what Stoney or Big A's ratings were before the deals or Silver's before his moves.

One thing I will note is that there seem to be a lot of extreme teams this time around and a wide variety of parks. Pitcher's parks will generally generage lower ratings and hitter higher. When I gen up the ratings in each park, I expect that some teams with lower ratings will fare well.

[code:1:7df63f1d70]
Team.… O P F P+F Overall
Stoney. 8192 5063 623 5686 2506
JoeTJet 7962 4963 539 5502 2460
Smokey. 8110 5048 721 5769 2341
BigMahn 7596 5133 131 5264 2332
JeepDrv 7926 5304 415 5719 2207
Dtigers 8199 5542 503 6045 2153
nythawk 7538 5115 322 5437 2101
Silver.. 7449 5061 321 5383 2066
Zim13.. 6995 4803 194 4997 1998
BigAlrc 7474 4979 521 5500 1974
Keyzick 7638 4905 827 5732 1906
ArrylTr 8065 5727 470 6197 1868



Team Ov Ovrl Rtg Rec Dif
Stoney. 2506 1 5 -4 C
JoeTJet 2460 2 8 -6 C
Smokey. 2341 4 7 -3 W
BigMahn 2332 4 4 0 C
JeepDrv 2207 5 2 3 E
Dtigers 2153 6 7 -1 W
nythawk 2101 7 4 3 W
Silver.. 2066 8 9 -1 E
Zim13.. 1998 9 4 5 E
BigAlrc 1974 9 5 4 E
Keyzick 1906 10 6 4 C
ArrylTr 1868 11 6 5 W


Team Of O Rtg Run Dif
Dtigers 8199 1 1 0 W
Stoney. 8192 1 5 -4 C
Smokey. 8110 2 4 -2 W
ArrylTr 8065 3 3 0 W
JoeTJet 7962 4 5 -1 C
JeepDrv 7926 5 4 1 E
Keyzick 7638 7 7 0 C
BigMahn 7596 8 5 3 C
nythawk 7538 9 8 1 W
BigAlrc 7474 10 5 5 E
Silver.. 7449 10 7 3 E
Zim13.. 6995 12 11 1 E


Team PF P+F Rtg Run Dif
Zim13.. 4997 1 1 0 E
BigMahn 5264 3 3 0 C
Silver.. 5383 5 4 1 E
nythawk 5437 6 2 4 W
BigAlrc 5500 7 3 4 E
JoeTJet 5502 7 7 0 C
Stoney. 5686 9 8 1 C
JeepDrv 5719 9 6 3 E
Keyzick 5732 9 8 1 C
Smokey. 5769 9 11 -2 W
Dtigers 6045 11 12 -1 W
ArrylTr 6197 12 10 2 W
[/code:1:7df63f1d70]
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Postby ArrylT » Mon Oct 31, 2011 4:15 pm

Well if you didnt have enough incentive to do well in NLD - looks like next seasons East division will comprise of qksilver, jtj, detroit tigers and/or smokee ... some pretty tough competition there.

Halfway through the season and Jeep already has a 10 game lead ... i bet he will do whatever it takes to keep his team from pulling a Red Sox/Braves like free fall.
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Postby joethejet » Mon Oct 31, 2011 10:45 pm

Easy there AT, all but Jeep are at most 8 games out of the East. Plenty of time to drop/gain 8 games. ;)

Jet
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A quick take on my team at half season

Postby BigAlric » Tue Nov 01, 2011 4:25 am

Pitching is mostly as expected. Latos, Happ and Dickey are more or less in line with what I thought they could do. Strasburg really is a revelation for me, while Blanton is doing a great job for .50. Bullpen is okay ERA wise, but the number of blown saves is worrying me. McCann, Zimmerman, Kemp are all doing good, also Huff after the trade. Tulowitzki though, it seems, didn't take the trade well. Doumit has to play RF now, can't blame him for that. Stubbs, Zobrist (despite his many steals), Colvin are bothering me big time. Should i drop them??ß We need Stubbs defense, but his BA/OBP is awful. Colvin's not good, but I don't see a better fit at LF on the free agent market.
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Postby superflymacdaddyjuice » Tue Nov 01, 2011 4:28 pm

I expected this team to perform more like what the ratings say. I appear to have underestimated the effect of my lack luster defense on my pitchers. From watching the games my offense love to hit a homer with no one on and the follow it with a double then a walk. This ofcourse is followed promptly by the requisite outs to complete the inning. In short, this bunch has a dogged approach to losing games innovative ways. Back to big ball parks for me.
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Postby qksilver69 » Tue Nov 01, 2011 9:57 pm

My take on this season is that we have a lot of parity with no standout team, and the highs & lows are mostly dice....
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Any comments

Postby BigAlric » Wed Nov 02, 2011 4:51 pm

on my team .. or my take on the team?
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Postby joethejet » Wed Nov 02, 2011 5:23 pm

Sorry guys, I've been slammed and have had no time to analyze or comment. I want to get the park by park ratings out too, but....

Well, I'll be in touch.

Maybe tomorrow.

Jet
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Postby bigmahon » Thu Nov 03, 2011 3:27 am

[quote:cb4d485b04="qksilver"]My take on this season is that we have a lot of parity with no standout team, and the highs & lows are mostly dice....[/quote:cb4d485b04]

So you're 19 games behind Jeep because of good / bad luck? :shock:
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Postby qksilver69 » Thu Nov 03, 2011 11:58 am

Exactly so Big. Did you bother to check the RS/RA?

Jeep's is 459 RS, 452 RA. A difference of +7.

My RS/RA is 398/400, -2. This means we should be about 2-3 games apart.

Jeep's 1-run record is 24-7. Some of that can be due to his good pen, but my pen has been more effective than his, but our record in 1-run games is a league worst 10-17. It's not only dice, but in looking at the league this year, I do think most of the separation we see is dice.
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