BPHR question

Postby joethejet » Wed Mar 11, 2009 7:05 pm

um, not sure. Maybe I don't have the most recent ATG file here at work. I'll have to check when I get home tonight.

took a quick look at his card online. Kiner has 15.3 real HRs v RHP and and 15.9 v LHP. 8 bphrs both ways.

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Postby chasenally » Wed Mar 11, 2009 10:36 pm

I also never understood how a player had that many chances either. Thank you for helping me out with that.
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Postby joethejet » Thu Mar 12, 2009 12:18 am

You're welcome.

OK, back to the HR hitters.

Maris still has the most v RHP 16.8 (only 6.5 v LHP)
Mantle and Kiner in second with 15.3

McGwire has an AMAZING 20 HRs v LHP!
Kiner second with 15.9

Guys with more than 10 both ways:
Kiner,Ralph (both > 15)
Wilson,Hack
Mays,Willie
Schmidt,Mike
Greenberg,Hank
Foxx,Jimmie
Ruth,Babe
Blanchard,J

A little more info for you on splits. You can figure them this way. For each split chance (1-20) you can count as follows:

2-.05
3-.1
4-.15
5-.2
6-.25
7-.3
8-.25
9-.2
10-.15
11-.1
12-.05

So, a 1-10 on a 6 is worth 2.5 chances.

Jet
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Postby ClowntimeIsOver » Thu Mar 12, 2009 7:36 pm

I think the easiest way to calculate split chances is multiply the numbers together, then take half.

examples: (below, note that a 7 roll equals 6, and a 10 roll equals 3)

a 1-9 on 7 would be 9 times 6 = 54, half is 27, answer is 2.7
a 1-16 on 7 would be 16 times 6 = 96, half is 48, answer is 4.8

a 1-14 on 10 would be 14 times 3 = 42, half is 21, answer is 2.1
a 1-3 on 10 would be 3 times 3 = 9, half is 4.5, answer is 0.45

once you get used to this, it becomes second nature
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Postby Palmtana » Thu Mar 12, 2009 8:33 pm

[quote:1cde1ad72c="wachovia07"]I think the easiest way to calculate split chances is multiply the numbers together, then take half.

examples: (below, note that a 7 roll equals 6, and a 10 roll equals 3)

a 1-9 on 7 would be 9 times 6 = 54, half is 27, answer is 2.7
a 1-16 on 7 would be 16 times 6 = 96, half is 48, answer is 4.8

a 1-14 on 10 would be 14 times 3 = 42, half is 21, answer is 2.1
a 1-3 on 10 would be 3 times 3 = 9, half is 4.5, answer is 0.45

once you get used to this, it becomes second nature[/quote:1cde1ad72c]


Someone posted this method on the boards a few years ago so that's how I do it. I usually play pitcher's parks so I count the double/triple chances of players I'm interested in. But I can't remember why the product is divided by 2. :?
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Postby Detroit-Tigers » Thu Mar 12, 2009 9:55 pm

[quote:e614333faf="Palmtana"][quote:e614333faf="wachovia07"]I think the easiest way to calculate split chances is multiply the numbers together, then take half.

examples: (below, note that a 7 roll equals 6, and a 10 roll equals 3)

a 1-9 on 7 would be 9 times 6 = 54, half is 27, answer is 2.7
a 1-16 on 7 would be 16 times 6 = 96, half is 48, answer is 4.8

a 1-14 on 10 would be 14 times 3 = 42, half is 21, answer is 2.1
a 1-3 on 10 would be 3 times 3 = 9, half is 4.5, answer is 0.45

once you get used to this, it becomes second nature[/quote:e614333faf]


Someone posted this method on the boards a few years ago so that's how I do it. I usually play pitcher's parks so I count the double/triple chances of players I'm interested in. But I can't remember why the product is divided by 2. :?[/quote:e614333faf]

Because the 1-9 or 1-16 is out of 20 chances. Since at the end you are dividing by 10 (21 = 2.1), you also need to divid by 2 somewhere to get the number of chances (2*10=20).
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Postby Palmtana » Thu Mar 12, 2009 10:57 pm

[quote:bd3e302a6f="Detroit-Tigers"]Because the 1-9 or 1-16 is out of 20 chances. Since at the end you are dividing by 10 (21 = 2.1), you also need to divid by 2 somewhere to get the number of chances (2*10=20).[/quote:bd3e302a6f]

Thanks for the memory jog.
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Postby joethejet » Fri Mar 13, 2009 1:02 am

Interesting way of doing it, but I find it easier to mulitply usually.

The .1 is very easy cuz it's just 10%, move the decimal.
.2 isn't very hard cuz we all know our 2X
.3 only gets hard for me when you get over 13.
.25 is just divided by 4 (e.g. 1-12 = 3 chances)
.05, you divide by 2 (e.g. 1-10 = .5 chance)

That leaves the .15 These aren't that easy. Maybe I'll try your method for those!

Jet
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