by keyzick » Tue Dec 22, 2009 9:52 am
First, Cameron was brought in to play left, not center.
Ellsbury's arm is fair to average, I'd definitely agree. But range is an area I still think is a visual judgment, and too much weight is put on UZR/150 and other range metrics.
Being a die-hard Sox fan (and trying to be objective here in my analysis), I'd have to disagree with the blog Wilby linked to. That guy indicated Ellsbury got bad jumps, hesitated, etc., while Drew made catches look easy because he always played the ball perfectly. After watching probably 99% of their games, both live and on TV, I couldn't disagree more. Bay and Drew could both be counted on to let up on easy bloopers, or take a rounded route that resulted in hits for the other team. Ellsbury was almost always on his horse at the crack of the bat. If I were to rate the Bosox outfielders range, I'd give Bay a 4, Drew a 3, and Ellsbury a 1.
Don't get me wrong, I love statistics as we all do (in fact, it was my majors), but I think this is one area where statisticians try to put a nice neat formula on something that is too subjective for measurement.