by Palanion » Mon Sep 12, 2011 12:00 pm
[quote:d2b7b92b71="rburgh"]1. I seriously doubt that the outs on the cards have much relation to the real performance of the players. They are put there for devious reasons having to do with the minutiae of the game, or (even worse) randomly. Pitchers with monstrous GB/FO ratios often have few or no gb on their cards (Kevin Brown as a shining example of this) and vice versa.
Hitter data is tougher to track, but there is limited data available and I think you will find, as I did, that there is little correlation between GB/FO ratio for the batters and their cards.
Their entire intent in making the cards and programming HAL is to make the end of season primary stats numbers come out as close to reality as possible for players and teams.[/quote:d2b7b92b71]
Pitchers' cards definitely have a relationship of outs to real performance, though I am sure the modern era cards are more exacting. You will find groundball pitchers, flyball pitchers, and strikeout artists, and the cards reflect this.
As for out distribution on hitters, I cannot vouch for every hitter's card, but I know that SOM has accounted for gidp when making their modern sadv cards. However, I have no clue at all how they ssplit them, since I know there are guys with more gbA vs. RHP than vs. LHP on their card but the rate was different IRL (e.g., 2000 Todd Helton).